Sunday, September 30, 2007

NEWSWEEK Poll: Sept. 29, 2007


This is news. Allow me to point your eyes to 5a below. The difference between "preference" (a poll number) and "likely caucus-goer" (a number that matters) is startling. Is hope alive? Hell 'ya. Question 6 asks about 1st choice/2nd choice. This is also very important in a caucus state. The full poll here.



5a. If you were attending a Democratic caucus TODAY, which ONE of the following eight presidential candidates are you most likely to support?

BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

Democratic Candidate Preference
Total
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goer
31 Hillary Clinton/Lean Clinton 24
25 Barack Obama/Lean Obama 28
21 John Edwards/Lean Edwards 22
6 Bill Richardson/Lean Richardson 10
3 Joe Biden/Lean Biden 5
1 Dennis Kucinich/Lean Kucinich 1
1 Chris Dodd/Lean Dodd 1
0 Mike Gravel/Lean Gravel 0
* Other candidate/Lean other candidate *
12 Total Undecided 9

5b. Do you support the following STRONGLY or only moderately?

BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

Strength of Support

Clinton Obama Edwards
Strong 55 41 37
Not Strong/Lean 45 59 63

6. If you were attending a Democratic caucus TODAY, which ONE of the following eight presidential candidates are you most likely to support? And who would be your SECOND CHOICE for the Democratic presidential nomination? (Table will add to more than 100% due to multiple responses.)

BASED ON DEMOCRATIC VOTERS

First/Second Democratic Choice (NET)
Total
Likely Democratic
Caucus-Goer
49 Total Hillary Clinton 44
48 Total Barack Obama 52
41 Total John Edwards 41
15 Total Bill Richardson 19
7 Total Joe Biden 11
2 Total Dennis Kucinich 2
1 Total Chris Dodd 2
* Total Mike Gravel 0
1 Total other candidate 1
12 Total undecided 9



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